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The tape split, and semis were the gap

The S&P slipped 0.28% while the Dow rose 0.26%, and the gap between them was semiconductors. Yields fell on a report Treasury could fund its buybacks from its own cash account, and oil fell despite new sanctions on Iran.

S&P 500
−0.28%
Dow
+0.26%
Nasdaq 100
−0.97%
Russell 2000
−0.76%
30-year
5.23%−4bp

Memory drags the chip complex

MU −5.8% · SOXX −2.7%

Micron closed down 5.83% at $910.43, worst of the large caps. AMD fell 3.49%, Nvidia 2.91%, Broadcom 2.63%. That one sector is most of the gap between the Dow closing green and the Nasdaq 100 closing down almost a per cent.

Treasury may fund buybacks from its cash pile

10-yr −3bp

Treasury is weighing using its roughly $1tn General Account to pay for the buybacks it expanded last Wednesday, per CNBC citing two officials. No word on how much. The 10-year fell 3bp to 4.70%. Wednesday said what it would buy. This is where the money comes from.

Sanctions on Iran, and oil fell anyway

WTI −2.4%

Bessent announced sanctions on 60 entities, individuals and vessels over Iran's nuclear and missile procurement, aimed at its grip on the Strait of Hormuz. WTI still settled down 2.39% at $84.98, Brent down 2.54% after a 13% fortnight. There's little Iranian oil left to remove. What prices is Iran's answer.

Canada talks collapse into a tariff war

USDCAD +0.33%

Talks broke down Friday and Carney recalled his negotiators. Saturday brought 50% US tariffs on hundreds of Canadian goods; Monday, Trump threatened to double the rate on cars. Canada says it matches dollar for dollar. Roughly 2% of Canadian GDP sits in the line of fire.

Rotation, not risk-off

VIX 15.85 · 9-day +11.8%

The VIX rose 4.76%, but 9-day vol jumped 11.84%. What got bought was protection into Friday, not protection generally. Long end rallying, chips sold, Dow green — that's a rotation.

Sources

A record of what happened in the session, not advice. Figures are as reported at the close on the day and are not revised afterwards.