The tape split, and semis were the gap
The S&P slipped 0.28% while the Dow rose 0.26%, and the gap between them was semiconductors. Yields fell on a report Treasury could fund its buybacks from its own cash account, and oil fell despite new sanctions on Iran.
- S&P 500
- −0.28%
- Dow
- +0.26%
- Nasdaq 100
- −0.97%
- Russell 2000
- −0.76%
- 30-year
- 5.23%−4bp
Memory drags the chip complex
MU −5.8% · SOXX −2.7%Micron closed down 5.83% at $910.43, worst of the large caps. AMD fell 3.49%, Nvidia 2.91%, Broadcom 2.63%. That one sector is most of the gap between the Dow closing green and the Nasdaq 100 closing down almost a per cent.
Treasury may fund buybacks from its cash pile
10-yr −3bpTreasury is weighing using its roughly $1tn General Account to pay for the buybacks it expanded last Wednesday, per CNBC citing two officials. No word on how much. The 10-year fell 3bp to 4.70%. Wednesday said what it would buy. This is where the money comes from.
Sanctions on Iran, and oil fell anyway
WTI −2.4%Bessent announced sanctions on 60 entities, individuals and vessels over Iran's nuclear and missile procurement, aimed at its grip on the Strait of Hormuz. WTI still settled down 2.39% at $84.98, Brent down 2.54% after a 13% fortnight. There's little Iranian oil left to remove. What prices is Iran's answer.
Canada talks collapse into a tariff war
USDCAD +0.33%Talks broke down Friday and Carney recalled his negotiators. Saturday brought 50% US tariffs on hundreds of Canadian goods; Monday, Trump threatened to double the rate on cars. Canada says it matches dollar for dollar. Roughly 2% of Canadian GDP sits in the line of fire.
Rotation, not risk-off
VIX 15.85 · 9-day +11.8%The VIX rose 4.76%, but 9-day vol jumped 11.84%. What got bought was protection into Friday, not protection generally. Long end rallying, chips sold, Dow green — that's a rotation.
Sources
- CNBC on the Treasury General Account(opens in a new tab)
- CNBC on the yield move(opens in a new tab)
- CNBC on oil and the Iran sanctions(opens in a new tab)
- Carney statement on the trade talks(opens in a new tab)
- CNBC on the Canada breakdown(opens in a new tab)
- CNN on the car tariff threat(opens in a new tab)